Report provides updated data on Brazilian ethanol industry

By Erin Voegele | August 31, 2016

Brazil has filed its annual biofuels report with the USDA Foreign Agriculture Service’s Global Agricultural Information Network, noting the country is expected to produce 30.372 billion liters (8.02 billion gallons) of ethanol this year, with total ethanol exports estimated to be 1.4 billion liters.

Of the 30.372 billion liters of ethanol expected to be produced this year, approximately 28.022 billion liters of that volume will fuel ethanol, with 6 million liters of that cellulosic ethanol. Moving into 2017, total ethanol production is forecasted at 30.148 billion liters, with 27.778 billion liters of that fuel ethanol, and 8 million liters of that volume cellulosic.

Brazil is expected to import 550 million liters of ethanol this year, including 530 million liters of fuel ethanol. Next year, import levels are expected to remain the same. Exports are expected to reach 1.4 billion liters in 2016 and 2017, with 750 million liters of that fuel being fuel ethanol each year.

Brazil is expected to consume 27.423 billion liters of ethanol this year, including 25.723 billion liters of fuel ethanol. In 2017, consumption is expected to increase to 27.7 billion liters, with 25.98 billion liters of that being fuel ethanol. The anhydrous blend rate is expected to be at 27 percent in 2016 and 2017, while the overall blend rate is expected to be 61.6 percent during both years.

According to the report, Brazil currently has 383 first-generation ethanol plants with combined nameplate capacity of 39.65 billion liters. Capacity is expected to be maintained through 2017. Capacity use, however, is expected to drop from 77 percent this year to 76 percent next year.

Brazil also currently has three cellulosic ethanol plants, with a combined capacity of 127 million liters. Cellulosic capacity is also expected to be maintained next year. Cellulosic plants are currently estimated to be operating at 5 percent capacity, with capacity expected to increase to 6 percent next year.

A full copy of the report can be downloaded from the USDA FAS GAIN website.