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We can’t ignore warning signs, farmers need growing markets in 2025 says IRFA’s Shaw

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By Iowa Renewable Fuels Association

February 07, 2025

PolicyFeedstocksMarkets

New markets, export opportunities and policy changes are all things that will help build demand, said IRFA Executive Director Monte Shaw at the Iowa Renewable Fuels Summit. The nearest term demand driver should be year-round E15, he added.

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Brazil produced a record 36.83 billion liters (9.73 billion gallons) of ethanol in 2024, up 4.4% when compared to the previous year, according to data released by UNICA, the Brazilian sugarcane industry association.

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According to new statistical reports released by the RFA, the value of the U.S. ethanol industry’s exports rose to a peak of $7.5 billion in 2024, fueled by a record 1.91 billion gallons of ethanol exported in 2024.

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U.S. fuel ethanol production was up nearly 10% the week ending Jan. 31, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Feb. 5. Weekly ending stocks of fuel ethanol were up 3% and exports were down 41%.

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The U.S. exported 194.42 million gallons of ethanol in December, bringing export volumes for the full year 2024 to a record 1.91 billion gallons, according to data released by the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service on Feb. 5.

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The U.S. Department of Commerce’s International Trade Administration has announced the Renewable Energy and Energy Advisory Committee will hold a meeting Feb. 12 in Washington, D.C. The event will also be streamed online.

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Growth Energy on Feb. 5 applauded the release of data showing that U.S. exports of ethanol set a new record in 2024. In total, the U.S. exported 1.9 billion gallons of ethanol worth $4.3 billion in 2024,

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US. Fuel ethanol production fell by nearly 8% the week ending Jan. 24, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Jan. 29. Stocks of fuel ethanol were down nearly 1% and exports were up 6%.

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A recent study sponsored by the USGC highlighted the significant advantages of including DDGS in rainbow trout diets. The research demonstrated that a 20% inclusion rate of DDGS yielded the most favorable impact on fish weight and growth.

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UNICA, the Brazilian sugarcane industry association, has announced sugarcane processing was down significantly during the second half of December. Ethanol production was down only slightly due to high levels of corn ethanol production.

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U.S. fuel ethanol production was down approximately 1% the week ending Jan. 10, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Jan. 15. Ending stocks of fuel ethanol were up 4% and exports were down 19%.

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U.S. fuel ethanol production was down nearly 1% the week ending Jan. 3, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Jan. 8. Stocks of fuel ethanol expanded by more than 2% and exports were up nearly 57%.

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The U.S. exported 187.6 million gallons of ethanol and 946,804 metric tons of distillers grains in November, according to data released by the USDA on Jan. 7. Exports of both products were up when compared to November 2023.

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According to data released Jan. 7 by the Census Bureau, U.S. ethanol exports for 2024 totaled 1.72 billion gallons just through November, already surpassing the previous annual record of 1.67 billion gallons set in 2018.

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The U.K.’s sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) mandate officially came into force on Jan. 1. By law, SAF must now account for at least 2% of all jet fuel in flights taking off from the U.K. The mandate is set to expand to 10% in 2030 and 22% in 2040.

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While at the 29th United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP29) in Baku, Azerbaijan, USGC promoted ethanol as a way to help countries meet their climate commitments.

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U.S. fuel ethanol production increased slightly the week ending Dec. 27, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Jan. 2. Ethanol stocks were up 2% and exports were down 40%.

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Brazil’s ethanol production—both sugarcane and corn—is expanding significantly, predominantly to fulfill the demands of the country’s increasing blending mandate.

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In December, the U.S. Grains Council welcomed reporters from Japan’s key nationwide news groups to visit with and interview ethanol stakeholders to gain perspective on the future of Japan’s ethanol market.

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The biofuels sector embarks on 2025 facing several headwinds from political and regulatory uncertainty, while tailwinds could continue from strong exports and higher biofuel mandates from countries around the world.

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In November, the USGC’s Latin America office hosted a team of aquaculture nutritionists from Ecuador and Panama in the U.S. as a means of promoting sustainable practices for DDGS and corn fermented proteins within the aquaculture space.

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U.S. fuel ethanol production was up slightly the week ending Dec. 20, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Dec. 27. Ethanol stocks were up nearly 2% and exports were up 2%.

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The U.S. Grains Council, in collaboration with Chinese Petroleum Corp Taiwan (CPC), the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) and Yamaha, in December held a test drive of motorcycles fueled by 100% bioethanol (E100) and E10 gasoline.

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UNICA, the Brazilian sugarcane industry association, has announced sugarcane processing was down during the second have of November. Ethanol production was also down for the two-week period, but sales were up for the full month.

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To advance biofuel policies globally, U.S. Grains Council Manager of Ethanol Policy and Sustainability Linda Schmid traveled to the 29th United Nations (UN) Climate Change Conference (COP29) held in Baku, Azerbaijan from Nov. 11-22.

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CoBank predicts U.S. ethanol production in 2025 will be largely unchanged from 2024 but cautions that policy uncertainty looms over administration of the RFS program, small refinery exemptions (SREs), and the impact of potential tariffs.

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The USGC recently sponsored AFRAQ 2024, a World Aquaculture Organization’s annual exhibition in the continent and held a training workshop during the event in Hammamet, Tunisia, that attracted participants from 11 countries.

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U.S. fuel ethanol production was up less than 1% the week ending Dec. 6, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Dec. 11. Stocks of fuel ethanol were down nearly 2% and exports were down more than 2%.

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The European Union and Mercosur, a South American trade bloc consisting of Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay, on Dec. 5 finalized negotiations on a new trade agreement. The agreement could increase the volume of ethanol imported into the EU.

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The USGC’s Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) office recently conducted a series of site visits and meetings with key customers in the animal feed production and industrial starch sectors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

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