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EIA maintains 2025 fuel ethanol production outlook, predicts continued strong exports through 2026

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By Erin Voegele

January 14, 2025

OperationsBusiness

The U.S. Energy Information Administration maintained its forecast for 2025 fuel ethanol production in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, released Jan. 14. The agency revised up its estimate of 2024 fuel ethanol blending.

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On Jan. 10, the U.S. DOE Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E) announced $38 million for nine projects to develop technologies that reduce synthetic nitrogen fertilizer use in corn and sorghum farming.

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The Renewable Fuels Foundation announces eight 2025 recipients of the Robert Sather Memorial Scholarship, which annually offers opportunities for students and members of the RFA’s Young Professionals Network to attend the NEC.

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The U.S. Department of Energy Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO) announced up to $23 million in funding to support research and development (R&D) of domestic chemicals and fuels from biomass and waste resources.

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The USDA on Jan. 10 awarded $60 million in Higher Blends Infrastructure Incentive Program grants. The funding supports 70 projects in 24 states that aim to increase consumer access to higher blends of ethanol and biodiesel.

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The USDA on Jan. 10 awarded $120 million in grants to 516 projects under the Rural Energy for America Program. One of those awards will support an improvement project at Nebraska-based KAAPA Energy LLC.

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U.S. corn production was down 3% last year, according to the 2024 Crop Production Annual Summary released Jan. 10 by the USD'As National Agricultural Statistics Service. Corn yields set a record high.

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Canada-based Greenfield Global Inc. is offering its operational, full-staffed 48 MMgy fuel ethanol plant in Winnebago, Minnesota, for sale via auction, according to Chabina Energy Partners LLC. Non-binding indications of interest are due Jan. 27.

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Aemetis Inc. on Jan. 13 announced the receipt of $11 million from the sale of IRA investment tax credits generated by a solar electricity generation project at the Keyes ethanol plant and two dairy biogas digesters built as Aemetis Biogas projects.

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Treasury and the IRS on Jan. 10 released guidance on the 45Z clean fuels production credit, including a notice of intent to propose regulations and a notice providing the annual emission rate table for the credit.

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The USDA maintained its forecast for 2024-’25 corn use in ethanol in its latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report, released Jan. 10. The forecast for 2024-’25 corn production was lowered, with the outlook for prices revised up.

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The Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES) on Jan. 8 announced it has approved R$1 billion ($165.48 million) in financing to support an 82 MMly (21.66 MMgy) cellulosic ethanol project under development by Raizen Energia S/A in Andradina, Sao Paulo.

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The Canadian government on Jan. 7 awarded more than $11 million to seven clean fuel and alternative fuel projects, including those focused on the production of renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and other types of bioenergy.

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Missouri agency announces biofuel infrastructure funding

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By Missouri Agricultural and Small Business Development Authority

January 09, 2025

The Missouri Agricultural and Small Business Development Authority (MASBDA) announced it has invested nearly $3.4 million in projects that increase the distribution and use of higher blends of ethanol and biodiesel in the State of Missouri.

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U.S. fuel ethanol production was down nearly 1% the week ending Jan. 3, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Jan. 8. Stocks of fuel ethanol expanded by more than 2% and exports were up nearly 57%.

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The U.S. DOE and the U.S. EPA on Jan. 8 awarded $6 million to three companies that are working to scale up innovative biofuel production technologies, including those focused on SAF and cellulosic ethanol.

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Aemetis Inc., a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company, announced on Jan. 7 that its Aemetis Biogas subsidiary commissioned three new dairy digesters in December 2024, increasing from nine to a total of 12 operating digesters.

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The February edition of Ethanol Producer Magazine focuses on technology innovations and increased sustainability.

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The U.S. exported 187.6 million gallons of ethanol and 946,804 metric tons of distillers grains in November, according to data released by the USDA on Jan. 7. Exports of both products were up when compared to November 2023.

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According to data released Jan. 7 by the Census Bureau, U.S. ethanol exports for 2024 totaled 1.72 billion gallons just through November, already surpassing the previous annual record of 1.67 billion gallons set in 2018.

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The USDA has appointed 36 members to serve on the newly formed Greenhouse Gas Technical Assistance Provider and Third-Party Verifier Program Advisory Council, informally known as the Growing Climate Solutions Act Advisory Council.

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Back to Our Roots

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By Geoff Cooper

January 07, 2025

The ethanol industry is celebrating the 20th anniversary of the Renewable Fuel Standard and looking ahead to new policy innovations that will boost the farm economy and save rural America.

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The USDA’s Commodity Credit Corp. has announced it does not expect to purchase and sell sugar under the Feedstock Flexibility Program for crop year 2024, which runs from Oct. 1, 2024, through Sept. 30, 2025.

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The U.K.’s sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) mandate officially came into force on Jan. 1. By law, SAF must now account for at least 2% of all jet fuel in flights taking off from the U.K. The mandate is set to expand to 10% in 2030 and 22% in 2040.

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Vertex Energy Inc. could be required to retire over 18.7 million RIN by March 31, 2025, to satisfy its 2023 and 2024 RFS blending obligations under a proposed Consent Decree and Environmental Settlement Agreement lodged by the U.S. government.

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While at the 29th United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP29) in Baku, Azerbaijan, USGC promoted ethanol as a way to help countries meet their climate commitments.

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U.S. operable biofuels production capacity increased slightly in October, with a small gain for ethanol, according to data released by the U.S. EIA on Dec. 31. Feedstock consumption was down when compared to October 2023.

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EPA denies 2 SRE petitions

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By Erin Voegele

January 04, 2025

The U.S. EPA on Jan. 2 denied two small refinery exemptions (SREs) for RFS compliance year 2023, according to updated data posted to the agency’s online SRE data dashboard. No other actions were taken and 129 SRE petitions remain pending.

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After restarting a former Valero plant in Wisconsin, ClonBio is retrofitting it in the image of the largest biorefinery in Europe.

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U.S. fuel ethanol production increased slightly the week ending Dec. 27, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Jan. 2. Ethanol stocks were up 2% and exports were down 40%.

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